The Fantasy Folly Awards: Catchers & Infielders
How they had the uncanny foresight to pick up Batting Champ From Nowhere Freddy Sanchez in mid-April, deal blue chipper-turned-benchwarmer Morgan Ensberg in early June and swap All-Star Game starter Brad Penny in mid-July in anticipation of his second-half slide.
Indeed, the Monday Morning Shortstop knows no wrong.
But in fantasy reality, hindsight might be 20-20, but foresight often isn?t. And for every brilliant move, there?s at least one act of foolishness. Hence the impetus for the inaugural MLB.com Fantasy Folly Awards, a rare platform in which admitting mistakes is not only encouraged — it?s celebrated.
And so, with our trusty MLB.com Fantasy Preview close at hand, let?s take a fond look back — position by position — at the most laughable preseason predictions of 2006. A review of the best of the worst infielder and catcher previews follows.
Mark Teixeira, Texas Rangers
MLB.com Fantasy Preview Ranking: 2
Heading into 2006, the writing was on the wall: ?.315, 50 homers and 150 RBIs are conceivable.? Unfortunately, we were talking about Mark Teixeira, not Ryan Howard. Oh well. Thanks to the enduring struggles of Morgan Ensberg, the first half?s biggest bust didn?t end up being the season?s biggest disappointment — at least not according to our ?Real Fantasy Awards.? Regardless, Teixeira was most unworthy of the No. 2 ranking at the perennially stacked first-base position, finishing an unspectacular campaign with a .282 average 33 homers and 110 RBIs — hardly becoming of ?one of the best power hitters in baseball.?
Jorge Cantu, Tampa Bay Devil Rays
MLB.com Fantasy Preview Ranking: 7
What do Jorge Cantu and Chase Utley have in common? As we were quick to point out in our preview, they both enjoyed nifty breakout campaigns in 2005. But you don?t need us to tell you that the parallels stopped there in 2006. ?This season should bring more of the same in the power department (30 homers is a possibility),? we surmised last offseason. ?With Julio Lugo and Carl Crawford in front of Cantu in the lineup, there’s a chance his RBI and run totals will increase, and his batting average could inch upward as he doesn’t strike out much.? Well, as it turned out, Cantu?s average dropped 37 points, all the way down to .249, and his RBI (117 vs. 62) and home run totals (24 vs. 12) were decimated — along with the reputation of a certain group of so-called fantasy experts.
Jhonny Peralta, Cleveland Indians
MLB.com Fantasy Preview Ranking: 8
?Can you believe the Indians actually used to play Alex Cora over this guy?? we rhetorically asked our readers prior to the season, adding, ?Thirty homers and 100 RBIs are not out of the question.? After all, ?this guy? had just hit .292 with 24 dingers and 78 RBIs at a mere 23 years of age. But ?these guys? found out just how quickly ?this guy? can become ?that guy,? as Jhonny Peralta followed up his glorious breakout campaign with a pedestrian .257 average, 13 homers and 68 RBIs.
Carlos Guillen, Detroit Tigers
MLB.com Fantasy Preview Ranking: 19
Heading into 2006, we dubbed Carlos Guillen a ?mystery,? and just to prove it, we totally botched his fantasy prediction. ?He’ll never duplicate 2004 again,? we surmised, ?so let someone else roll the dice.? Hopefully, you were someone else, as Guillen batted .320 with 20 steals, 19 homers, 41 doubles, 100 runs scored and a .919 OPS, essentially matching his aforementioned breakout campaign stat for stat.
Bill Hall, Milwaukee Brewers
MLB.com Fantasy Preview Ranking: 21
We said he was just another Juan Uribe, a versatile infielder with ?shaky plate discipline? on the heels of an anomalous breakout season. Whoops. But things really got embarrassing when we took the comparison too far. ?Uribe’s weak plate discipline that resulted in across-the-board decline should be an ominous portent for Hall,? we predicted. ?A repeat of 2005 would be a shock.? In the end, though, the only real shock was the fallacy of our premise, as Hall followed up his career year with — what else? — a career year, notching career highs in homers (35), runs scored (101), RBIs (85), on-base percentage (.345) and slugging percentage (.553) ? in spite of his still-shaky plate discipline.
Joe Crede, Chicago White Sox
MLB.com Fantasy Preview Ranking: 22
?Don?t go crazy over the postseason!? we warned heading into 2006. ?Crede?s not a star.? But we didn?t stop there. ?If you are looking for a breakout candidate,? we advised, ?there are better ones than Crede.? In one sense, we were right; there actually were better hot-corner-eligible breakout candidates than Crede, from utilitymen like Bill Hall and Michael Cuddyer to purebreds like Ryan Zimmerman. But in another, much more pertinent sense, we were dead wrong, as Crede established career highs in every major statistical category en route to an All-Star-caliber breakout campaign.
Javy Lopez, Baltimore Orioles & Boston Red Sox
MLB.com Fantasy Preview Ranking: 5
It?s common knowledge that Jennifer Lopez isn?t the only ?J-Lo? with a career on the decline, but for whatever reason, we didn?t get the memo. ?Lopez is in a much more desirable situation in 2006, as the acquisition of Ramon Hernandez means he will spend a lot of time as a designated hitter and maybe even play some first base,? we conjectured prior to the season. ?If the change keeps him fresh and he can avoid injury, Lopez could easily slug 25 homers and knock in 80 runs.? Of course, a healthy Lopez played virtually no first base and minimally at designated hitter and catcher with the Orioles, hitting .265 with eight homers and 31 RBIs before being shipped to the Red Sox, with whom he batted .190 with no homers and four RBIs as a full-time part timer leading up to his release in early September.